Prepared exclusively for Josh & Cassandra Knudsen

Comparative Market Analysis · August 10, 2026

786 S 2315 W

Rexburg, Idaho 83440  ·  Summerfield Sub. No. 6

4
Bedrooms
2.5
Baths
2,137
Sq Ft
2022
Built
Solar
Included
Scroll for your number

🏡

A conflict of interest, disclosed up front

Please don't move.

Grant lives in this neighborhood. This is the only CMA he has ever run while quietly hoping the number would come back low.

It did not. Everything that follows is straight out of the report, unedited, because that's the job. But if after reading all of it you decide to simply… stay… know that one of your neighbors will take that as a personal win.

— Grant, your neighbor (who is also, unfortunately, a very good Realtor)

What your home is worth today

$0

$225 per square foot  ·  weighted from three closed Summerfield sales

$472,200$499,710

Range of the adjusted comparables

Source: RPR Advanced CMA, 8/10/2026 — three closed sales weighted 34% / 33% / 33%. For reference, RPR's automated estimate (RVM®) for this address is $474,000 with a confidence range of $412,400–$535,600.

The 60-second version

$481,278
What the comps say it's worth
+$31,378
Above the July 2022 sale price
3
Sales within 0.2 miles this year
$225
Per square foot, adjusted

Your home is the biggest of the four and the only one with solar. Two comps adjust to $472,200, one to $499,710 — so the number holds. In a slower market the price still has to be right on the first try.

What they sold for, and what that means for you

Each sale shown at its closing price, then adjusted for the ways your home differs from it.

Your value · $481,278
821 S 2275 W closed 3/20/26
$432,000
$472,200
2325 W 860 S closed 5/29/26
$435,000
$472,200
630 S 2275 W closed 3/2/26
$431,900
$499,710
$400K$425K$450K$475K$500K
Actual closing price Adjusted to match your home Your weighted value

Source: RPR Comp Property Adjustments, MLS 2181605 / 2184943 / 2180910.

Since the last sale

Last sold · July 25, 2022
$449,900
CMA value · Aug 2026
$481,278
=
Difference
+$31,378

Source: RPR Sales and Financing Activity — listed 5/24/2022 at $459,900, went pending 7/8/2022, closed 7/25/2022 at $449,900. The difference above is a change in value over four years (+7.0%), not net proceeds — it doesn't account for your loan balance or selling costs.

The three sales behind the number

Every adjustment, line by line

A smaller, older home selling for $432,000 doesn't mean yours is worth $432,000. Below is each sale adjusted to your square footage, age and features — the exact figures from the analysis, nothing rounded or softened. Tap any card to open it.

821 S 2275 W
1,897 sq ft · 4 bd / 2.5 ba · Built 2018 · 6,098 sq ft lot · 0.06 mi SE · 48 days on market
Show the adjustments +
$432,000
Closed 3/20/26
Living area — you have 240 more sq ft+$31,200
Year built — yours is 2022, theirs 2018+$4,000
Solar — yours has it, theirs did not+$5,000
Adjusted value$472,200

$249/sq ft adjusted · net adjustment +$40,200 (+9.31%) · gross adjustment 9.31% · MLS 2181605 · Courtesy of Century 21 High Desert–Rexburg

2325 W 860 S
1,897 sq ft · 4 bd / 2.5 ba · Built 2021 · 6,534 sq ft lot · 0.09 mi S · 16 days on market
Show the adjustments +
$435,000
Closed 5/29/26
Living area — you have 240 more sq ft+$31,200
Year built — yours is 2022, theirs 2021+$1,000
Solar — yours has it, theirs did not+$5,000
Adjusted value$472,200

$249/sq ft adjusted · net adjustment +$37,200 (+8.55%) · gross adjustment 8.55% · MLS 2184943 · Courtesy of Real Broker LLC.
Worth knowing: this seller also paid $7,500 in concessions, so their net was closer to $427,500.

630 S 2275 W
1,600 sq ft · 3 bd / 2 ba · Built 2023 · 0.26 acre lot · 0.2 mi N · 66 days on market
Show the adjustments +
$431,900
Closed 3/2/26
Living area — you have 537 more sq ft+$69,810
Bedrooms — 4 vs. their 3+$5,000
Half bath — yours has one, theirs does not+$2,500
Solar — yours has it, theirs did not+$5,000
Lot size — their 0.26 acre corner lot is larger−$6,000
Garage — their 5-stall is larger−$7,500
Year built — theirs is 2023, yours 2022−$1,000
Adjusted value$499,710

$312/sq ft adjusted · net adjustment +$67,810 (+15.7%) · gross adjustment $96,810 (22.41%) · MLS 2180910 · Courtesy of Real Estate Two70.
This comp needed the heaviest adjustments, which is why it carries the same 33% weight as the others rather than setting the number on its own.

$432,967
Avg. closed price
Range $431,900 – $435,000
$242
Avg. $ / sq ft
Range $228 – $270
43
Avg. days to contract
Range 16 – 66 days
99%
Avg. sold-to-list
Range 98% – 100%

Source: RPR Closed Comp Property Stats, three properties, 8/10/2026.

Rexburg 83440 · Zillow & Realtor.com · 2026

What the market is actually doing

Independent numbers, not from your own listing agent. Two things matter for you: how much competition is on the market, and which direction values are moving. Both have turned since 2022.

One honest caveat

These figures cover every home in the 83440 ZIP code, at every price point — student rentals through acreage estates. Read them for direction and momentum, not to price your specific house. The three closed comps above are what actually price your home.

125
Homes for sale
▲ 23.7% vs. a year ago
Up from 26 at the 2020 low and 74 in 2022. The most active listings the ZIP has carried in at least a decade — buyers have real choice.
+4.7%
Home-value growth, past year
Zillow ZHVI · Jun 2025 → Jun 2026
Values are still rising — just at a normal pace, a world away from the +29% of 2021. Nothing here is crashing.
$430,664
Zillow typical value, 83440
All homes · every price point
The ZIP-wide midpoint. Your adjusted comps put your specific home well above it, because yours is newer and larger than the typical 83440 home.

Homes for sale, every July

Active listings on the last day of July, 2017 through 2026. Source: Realtor.com.

60'17
50'18
47'19
26'20
39'21
74'22
81'23
92'24
101'25
125'26

Source: Realtor.com active for-sale inventory for ZIP 83440, via Reventure. The straight climb since 2020 is the supply side of the slower market — more homes competing for the same buyers.

How fast values have moved, year over year

Zillow Home Value Index growth for 83440, each June. Source: Zillow.

2020
+10.7%
2021
+29.0%
2022
+24.0%
2023
−6.6%
2024
−1.1%
2025
+3.4%
2026
+4.7%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), YoY growth for ZIP 83440, via Reventure. The 2021–22 spike corrected in 2023–24, and the last two years have settled into steady low-single-digit gains. That's the backdrop for pricing right the first time.

Interactive

Where would you land?

Move the slider and see how any list price sits against the three adjusted comps and the wider market. Every marker below is a real figure from the analysis — no projections, no guesses about how fast it sells.

$479,900

$225 / sq ft

$450,000$520,000
$225
Per square foot
Mid-range
vs. adjusted comps
+0.0%
vs. CMA value

What actually happened to the three

821 S 2275 W · $228/sq ft
Days on market48
Closed3/20/2026
ConcessionsNone recorded
2325 W 860 S · $229/sq ft
Days on market16
Closed5/29/2026
Concessions$7,500
630 S 2275 W · $270/sq ft
Days on market66
Closed3/2/2026
ConcessionsNone recorded

Source: RPR comparable property detail, days in RPR. The fastest sale of the three was also the lowest priced per square foot; the slowest was the highest. Three sales isn't enough to call that a rule, but it's the pattern in your own neighborhood this year.

If you listed today, here's where we'd start

$479,900

Working range  $474,900 – $484,900

1

It sits on the most-supported ground. Two of your three comps adjust to exactly $472,200 and the weighted value is $481,278. Pricing in between leans on the two comps that needed the lightest adjustments — not the one that needed 22%.

2

The market rewards getting it right the first time. Your own comps averaged 43 days to contract, and this is a slower season. Listings that start high get stale, then sell for less than if they'd launched correctly.

3

It leaves room to negotiate without giving anything up. Your three comps closed at 98–100% of asking. At $479,900 that maps to roughly $470,000–$480,000 — right on top of the analysis.

And to be very clear

This is what the data says. What you do with it is entirely your call.

Our job is to bring you the data. You know things about this house and about your own timeline that no report can see. If you want to test a higher number, we'll build the launch around that number and tell you honestly, every week, how it's tracking — no I-told-you-so. If you'd rather price to move, we'll do that instead. And if you read all of this and decide to stay put, that's a completely legitimate answer too.

This assumes condition consistent with the comps, and that the market holds roughly where July left it.

Where your home has the advantage

Four things the comps couldn't match

📐

240 to 537 more square feet

Every closed comp in Summerfield this year was smaller than your 2,137 sq ft. The analysis values that difference at $31,200 to $69,810 — and square footage is the first filter buyers apply when they search.

☀️

Solar — and none of the three had it

Carried at $5,000 in every adjustment, and honestly that's about right. We're not going to oversell the savings. What it does do is give your listing a feature the other three couldn't claim — worth real money to the right buyer, just not a headline.

🏗️

Built 2022 — newer than two of the three

No roof conversation, no HVAC conversation, no deferred maintenance discount. For context, the county's 2025 assessment values the improvements alone at $363,638.

📍

Summerfield is still trading

Three closings within 0.2 miles this year, all between $431,900 and $435,000 on smaller homes, all at 98–100% of asking. Active buyer demand in a specific neighborhood is the hardest thing to manufacture.

Source: RPR Closed Comp Property Stats — sold-to-list price across the three comps: low 98%, average 99%, high 100%.

Full transparency

Where every number came from

Three different methods produce three different numbers for your home. We lead with the comp-based analysis because it's the only one built on actual nearby sales — but you should see all of them.

Advanced CMA value — $481,278 Three closed comps adjusted for differences and weighted 34/33/33. The number we'd stand behind in a negotiation, because it's built on what actually sold next door. This is the figure above.
RPR RVM® — $474,000 RPR's automated valuation model. Confidence range $412,400–$535,600, five-star confidence, up $2,130 this month and 0.73% over the year.
RPR Refined Value — $430,655 The RVM with a −$43,345 square-footage correction applied automatically. We don't lead with it because it re-prices the home off a records discrepancy rather than off sales, but you'd see it in the raw report so it belongs here.
2025 county assessment — $418,638 $55,000 land plus $363,638 improvements. Total tax $2,560. Assessments follow the market on a lag and are not a market value.
Zillow typical value, 83440 — $430,664 The ZIP-wide midpoint across every home and price point (Zillow ZHVI). Useful as market direction, not as a value for your specific home — yours is newer and larger than typical.
Market context — Zillow & Realtor.com The market section draws on Zillow's Home Value Index (+4.7% YoY for 83440) and Realtor.com active inventory (125 homes, +23.7% YoY), pulled via Reventure. Independent of the listing-side CMA above.

Valuation figures from the RPR Comparative Market Analysis for 786 S 2315 W dated 8/10/2026 (Madison County records and MLS data, APN RPR4SF60090270). Market-trend figures from Zillow and Realtor.com for ZIP 83440 via Reventure, July 2026.

The next step

Questions on any of this?

This is built entirely from public records and MLS data — it can't account for upgrades or finishes that aren't in the record, and it can't tell you what the right move is for your timeline. That part is a conversation, whenever it's convenient.

Or email grant@two70.com  ·  rickr@two70.com

No pressure and no listing pitch. Even if you're a year out, it's worth knowing where you stand.